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Potti's World Cup Diary

Potti’s World Cup Diary #19: 3x Favorite Wins on Monday

The World Cup is really heating up – and today features three absolute blockbusters. Brazil against Japan, Germany against Paraguay, and the Netherlands against Morocco promise plenty of excitement. My first betting analysis was also quite close to reality. The form seems to be back just in time for this critical phase. Let’s see if that continues today.Round of 16: South Africa vs. Canada 0:1 My first analysis was quite accurate – with one exception: Instead of the expected spectacle, a rather sluggish match developed. South Africa defended passionately and had chances to surprise the favorite with quick counters. However, the Africans squandered their transition moments far too carelessly and thus missed their possible reward. Canada struggled for a long time but remained patient and had the better of the game for long stretches. Just as I was about to grab some vanilla ice cream from the fridge for extra time, Stephen Eustáquio finally redeemed the Maple Leafs in stoppage time. Overall, the Canadian success was deserved. For South Africa, this strong World Cup ends, and the team can be proud despite the elimination. Canada advances to the World Cup Round of 16 for the first time – good for the mood in the host country and certainly good for the tournament as well. However, in the next round, the Maple Leafs will likely meet a competitor that’s just too tough to handle. Today: 3 (cool) matchups  Round of 16: Brazil vs. Japan – 7 PM On paper, Brazil enters this match as the clear favorite. However, that could also represent the biggest danger – especially if the South Americans underestimate the Japanese. The Asians have fully transformed from an unpleasant outsider into a team that can hurt any top squad. Strong technically, excellently organized tactically, and incredibly disciplined runners, they will demand everything from the Seleção. Confidence is also high: Japan surprisingly won the last duel with Brazil 3:2.Nonetheless, I believe that Carlo Ancelotti’s team has made a decisive step forward. Vinícius Júnior is in outstanding form, Neymar is back just in time for the knockout phase, and the entire team seems to be growing stronger with each game.My tip: Japan will annoy the record world champions for a long time and even put them under pressure at times. In the end, however, the individual class of the Brazilians will prevail. Brazil wins 3:1 and justly advances to the next round. Round of 16: Germany vs. Paraguay – 10:30 PM The group victory is secured – but the German team has not really convinced so far. For long stretches, there was a lack of pace and finishing power in the final third, and overall, the performance appeared more solid than sovereign. That’s why the match against Paraguay will serve as a good test to see if the DFB team is ready for a long knockout phase.The South Americans will not give Germany anything for free. Paraguay defends passionately, is strong in duels, and will try to keep the game open for as long as possible. However, if the DFB team takes an early lead, spaces will inevitably open up.I believe that Germany will appear much more focused and determined this time. After a sluggish start, Jamal Musiala will break the deadlock just before the break. Paraguay will have to take more risks afterward, resulting in counter-attacking opportunities. In the last quarter of an hour, Florian Wirtz seals the deal with the 2:0. My tip: Germany wins deservedly 2:0. Round of 16: Netherlands vs. Morocco – 3:00 AM For me, this is one of the most exciting Round of 16 matches in this World Cup. The Netherlands is one of the strongest playing teams of the tournament so far and has repeatedly impressed, especially offensively. Morocco, on the other hand, has proven once again that their sensational World Cup run in 2022 was no fluke. The North Africans are passionate in defense, switch quickly, and feel completely at ease in the role of underdog.That’s why I initially expect a tough match. The Netherlands will have a lot of ball possession, while Morocco waits for counters. Only just before the break does Brobbey relieve the Dutch with a 1:0. After the half, Morocco throws everything forward and equalizes with a quick counterattack. However, just as many are preparing for extra time, Cody Gakpo strikes coldly ten minutes before the end and sends the Netherlands into the Round of 16.My tip: The Netherlands wins a high-class and fiercely contested match 2:1. Morocco delivers another excellent performance, but this time it isn’t quite enough against one of the strongest teams so far. 
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